The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Titans 20.4%
Draw 3.3%
Melbourne Storm 76.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.4%
3.9%
70.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
4%
68.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Titans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Titans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gold Coast Titans - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Khan-Pereira A.
1. Papenhuyzen R.
3. Kelly B.
2. Faalogo S.
4. JoJo
3. Anderson G.
5. Sami P.
4. Meaney N.
7. Campbell J.
6. Munster C.
9. Verrills S.
7. Hughes J.
10. Campbell-Gillard R.
8. Utoikamanu S.
11. Randall C.
10. King J.
12. Fermor B.
11. Blore S.
13. Faasuamaleaui I.
12. Katoa E.
14. Foran K.
15. Asofa-Solomona N.
15. Jolliffe J.
17. Garlick B.
21. Weaver T.
19. Howarth J.
Substitutes
8. Fotuaika M.
13. Loiero T.
16. Haas K.
14. Wishart T.
17. Alick Wiencke J.
16. Kamikamica T.
19. Faasuamaleaui T.
18. Chan J.
Coaches
. Hasler D.
. Bellamy C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 16)
6', Campbell J. (Try),
8', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Faalogo S. (Try),
17', Papenhuyzen R. (Missed Conversion),
36', Faalogo S. (Try),
38', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
40', Wishart T. (Try),
40', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 12)
49', Sami P. (Try),
50', Campbell J. (Missed Conversion),
59', Anderson G. (Try),
61', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
64', Anderson G. (Try),
65', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
68', Sami P. (Try),
70', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1.
Gold Coast is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Melbourne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 348:574. (average 17.4:28.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 142:212. (average 17.8:26.5).
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New-zealand
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Khan-Pereira A. 
Faalogo S. 
Hughes J. 
Blore S. 
Katoa E. 
Jolliffe J. 
Haas K. 
Chan J. 
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