Match Info
NRL - Round 17Date: 27 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: 4 Pines Park (Brookvale)Referee: Klein A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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Melbourne Storm |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
26 |
2.65 |
|
 |
1.6 |
18 |
2.6 |
|
 |
1.49 |
20.94 |
2.8 |
|
 |
1.44 |
21 |
2.7 |
|
 |
1.55 |
20 |
2.51 |
|
 |
1.52 |
22 |
2.65 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.58) |
21.32 ↓
(25.75) |
2.65 ↑
(2.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
60.9% | Draw
4.3% | Melbourne Storm
34.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Trbojevic T. (C)
| 1.  Faalogo S.
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2. Saab J.
| 2.  Warbrick W.
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3.  Koula T.
| 4.  Chan J.
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4. Feledy J.
| 5. Moses L.
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5. Hopoate L.
| 6. Munster C.
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6. Brooks L.
| 7. Wishart T.
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7. Fogarty J.
| 8. Utoikamanu S.
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8. Paseka T.
| 9. Grant H.
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9. Simpkin J.
| 10. King J.
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11. Olakau'atu H.
| 11. Clarke C.
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12. Trbojevic B.
| 12. Lisati A.
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13. Trbojevic J.
| 13. Loiero T.
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16. Laiafi S.
| 19. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Bullemor E.
| 14. Toelau T.
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14. Walsh J.
| 15. Hetherington J.
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15.  Brown N.
| 16. Pahulu J.
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17. Schoupp A.
| 17. MacDonald A.
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18. Wilson B.
| 18.  Blore S.
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20. Hart H.
| 21. Huen S.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Foran K.
| . Bellamy C.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 0)
- 6', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 8', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 13', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Saab J. (Try),
- 31', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Koula T. (Try),
- 36', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 4)
- 50', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 52', Faalogo S. (Missed Conversion),
- 63', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 68', Trbojevic B. (Try),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 3.Recent performances by Manly-Warringah have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Manly-Warringah could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 310:476. (average 15.5:23.8).Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 189:270. (average 18.9:27).
Last Results with these Odds
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 19.07.25 | Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 16:18 | | 06.04.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm | 24:48 | | 24.05.24 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm | 26:20 | | 24.06.23 | Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 24:6 | | 14.04.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm | 18:8 | | 30.06.22 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm | 36:30 | | 26.05.22 | Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 28:8 |
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