Match Info

NRL - Round 7

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action


	Newcastle Knights		Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
	3.2	26	1.42
	3.4	21	1.33
	3.2	22	1.42
	3.2	20.8	1.4
	3.17	21	1.39	Watch
	3.2	22	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.94)	22.13 ↓ (23.6)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Knights
28.9%

Draw
4.2%

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

4.2%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newcastle Knights - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ponga K. (C)	1. Kennedy W.
2. Schiller J.	2. Stonestreet S.
3. Gagai D.	3. Ramien J.
4. Best B.	4. Hiroti M.
5. Marzhew G.	5. Mulitalo R.
6. Sharpe F.	6. Trindall B.
7. Gamble T.	7. Hynes N.
8. Frizell T.	8. Fonua-Blake A.
9. Crossland P.	9. Brailey B.
10. Thompson L.	10. Kaufusi O.
11. Cant T.	11. Nikora B.
12. Pearce-Paul K.	12. Wilton T.
13. Croker M.	13. McInnes C. (C)
Substitutes
14. Brailey J.	14. Atkinson D.
15. Thompson T.	15. Talakai S.
16. McEwen J.	16. Rudolf T.
17. Jones B.	17. Hazelton T.
18. McCarthy K.	20. Puru H.
Coaches
. O'Brien A.	. Fitzgibbon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 16)
12', Kaufusi O. (Try),
14', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
17', Fonua-Blake A. (Try),
19', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
22', Stonestreet S. (Try),
24', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
31', Marzhew G. (Try),
32', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (10 - 18)
47', Stonestreet S. (Try),
47', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
49', Kennedy W. (Try),
50', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
71', Sharpe F. (Try),
72', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
74', Hiroti M. (Try),
75', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
79', Schiller J. (Try),
79', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cronulla-Sutherland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cronulla-Sutherland is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 353:506 (average 17.7:25.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 242:296 (average 22:26.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Knights
Australian NRL
13.04.25	Newcastle Knights - Wests Tigers	4:20 ✺
06.04.25	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Newcastle Knights	20:0 ✺
22.03.25	Gold Coast Titans - Newcastle Knights	26:6 ✺
13.03.25	Newcastle Knights - Dolphins	26:12 ✺
07.03.25	Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights	8:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW
- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
12.04.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	24:18 ✺
03.04.25	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	24:20 ✺
29.03.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	6:20 ✺
22.03.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs	27:12 ✺
15.03.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
18.08.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights	19:18 OT
16.02.24	Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	44:18
27.08.23	Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	32:6
20.05.23	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights	26:6
10.02.23	Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	16:28
04.09.22	Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	16:38
01.04.22	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights	18:0

Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide