Match Info
NRL - Round 27Date: 7 September 2025, SundayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | 9HD, Fox League, NRL |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
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 |
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Parramatta Eels |
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Newcastle Knights |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.18 |
29 |
5 |
|
 |
1.2 |
26 |
4.5 |
|
 |
1.22 |
28 |
4.8 |
 Watch |
 |
1.03 |
37.09 |
12.60 |
Watch |
 |
1.18 |
26 |
4.5 |
|
 |
1.22 |
26 |
4.55 |
|
 |
1.21 |
30 |
4.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.28) |
28.87 ↑
(25) |
5.76 ↑
(3.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels
80.3% | Draw
3.3% | Newcastle Knights
16.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Parramatta Eels's performance.Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Parramatta Eels - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Parramatta will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Parramatta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:19 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Iongi I.
| 1. Gagai D. (C)
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2. Lomax Z.
| 2.  Young D.
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3.  Penisini W.
| 4. Best B.
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4.  Brown D.
| 5. Hunt F.
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5. Addo-Carr J.
| 6. Arthur J.
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7. Moses M. (C)
| 7. Cogger J.
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8. Hopgood J.
| 8.  Saifiti J.
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9. Smith R.
| 9. Crossland P.
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10.  Paulo J.
| 11. McEwen J.
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11. Tuilagi K.
| 12. Pearce-Paul K.
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12. Williams J.
| 13. Frizell T.
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13. Walker D.
| 15. Croker M.
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18. Russell S.
| 18. Marzhew G.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Da Silva T.
| 14. Brailey J.
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15. Doorey M.
| 16. Cant T.
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16. Guymer C.
| 17. Salesa-Leaumoana E.
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17. Samrani J.
| 25. Hopwood C.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Ryles J.
| . O'Brien A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (34 - 4)
- 2', Brown D. (Try),
- 4', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 5', Moses M. (Try),
- 7', Lomax Z. (Missed Conversion),
- 17', Moses M. (Try),
- 19', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Smith R. (Try),
- 22', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', McEwen J. (Try),
- 29', Cogger J. (Missed Conversion),
- 33', Doorey M. (Try),
- 35', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Moses M. (Try),
- 37', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (32 - 6)
- 44', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 46', Lomax Z. (Missed Conversion),
- 47', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 48', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Paulo J. (Try),
- 51', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 57', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 74', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Da Silva T. (Try),
- 78', Brown D. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Penisini W. (Try),
- 80', Brown D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 4.Recent performances by Parramatta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Newcastle has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Parramatta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Parramatta is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 434:385. (average 21.7:19.3).Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 115:121. (average 16.4:17.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 16.05.25 | Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels | 6:28 | | 14.02.25 | Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels | 18:44 | | 29.06.24 | Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels | 34:26 | | 28.04.23 | Parramatta Eels - Newcastle Knights | 43:12 | | 17.02.23 | Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels | 14:36 | | 24.04.22 | Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels | 2:39 | | 12.09.21 | Parramatta Eels - Newcastle Knights | 28:20 |
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