The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs 45%
Draw 4.2%
Dolphins 50.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.9%
3.8%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
4%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolphins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolphins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Dolphins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gray J.
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
2. Bentley-Hape B.
2. Isaako J.
3. Mitchell L.
3. Bostock J.
4. Graham C.
4. Farnworth H.
5. Kosi E.
5. Cobbo S.
6. Walker C.
6. Nikorima K.
7. Ward A.
7. Katoa I.
8. Koloamatangi K.
8. Flegler T.
9. Garlick B.
9. Plath M.
10. Keppie S.
11. Lemuelu C.
11. Aitken E.
12. Finefeuiaki K.
12. Duncan T.
13. Knowles M.
13. Murray C.
17. Kaufusi F.
Substitutes
14. Dufty M.
14. Marshall-King J.
15. Hubner L.
15. Stone R.
16. Tatola T.
16. Gilbert T.
17. Elliott A.
18. Keeley O.
18. Sullivan J.
21. Naufahu T.
19. Siegwalt L.
22. Donoghoe K.
Coaches
. Bennett W.
. Woolf K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 20)
14', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
18', Cobbo S. (Try),
19', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
26', Plath M. (Try),
27', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
31', Farnworth H. (Try),
32', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 12)
57', Bostock J. (Try),
58', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
63', Bentley-Hape B. (Try),
64', Bentley-Hape B. (Missed Conversion),
67', Aitken E. (Try),
68', Bentley-Hape B. (Conversion Goal),
76', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
South Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dolphins has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 148:144. (average 29.6:28.8).
Including home match between the teams, South Sydney won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:14.