The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Roosters 73.9%
Draw 3.9%
New Zealand Warriors 22.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.7%
3.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
4.5%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Roosters that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:17
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tedesco J. (C)
1. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
2. Tupou D.
2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
3. Suaalii J.
3. Berry R.
4. Manu J.
6. Martin T.
5. Young D.
7. Johnson S.
6. Keary L.
8. Fonua-Blake A.
7. Walker S.
10. Afoa B.
8. Waerea-Hargreaves J.
11. Ford J.
10. Collins L.
12. Barnett M.
11. Crichton A.
13. Harris T. (C)
12. Butcher N.
17. Pompey A.
13. Radley V.
22. Kosi E.
14. Watson C.
23. Lussick F.
Substitutes
16. Leniu S.
9. Egan W.
17. May T.
14. Walker D.
18. Smith S.
15. Ale T.
19. Butcher E.
16. Tevaga J.
22. Pauga F.
20. Tuaupiki T.
Coaches
. Robinson T.
. Webster A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (22 - 0)
4', Young D. (Try),
6', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
7', Crichton A. (Try),
8', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
10', Young D. (Try),
12', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
13', Crichton A. (Try),
15', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 18)
45', Tupou D. (Try),
47', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
50', Kosi E. (Try),
51', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
53', Tedesco J. (Try),
55', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
62', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
63', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
69', Fonua-Blake A. (Try),
70', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
76', Walker S. (Try),
77', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 5.
Recent matches Sydney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
New Zealand is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sydney could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sydney have a series of guest games.
In this match Sydney is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Sydney won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 426-258.
Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 226-145.
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Tedesco J. (C) 
Nicoll-Klokstad C. 
Tupou D. 
Suaalii J. 
Young D. 
Keary L. 
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