Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Bath)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Bath		Saracens

	1	X	2
	1.13	34	6
	1.1	35	6.4
	1.13	30.52	6.31	Watch
	1.11	26	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↑ (1.1)	31.38 ↓ (32.67)	6.3 ↓ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bath
82.4%

Draw
2.9%

Saracens
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.1%

2.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bath - Saracens Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:21

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Obano B.	1. Carre R.
2. Dunn T.	2. George J.
3. Griffin A.	3. Street M.
4. Roux Q.	4. Itoje M. (C)
5. Ewels C.	5. Tizard H.
6. Bayliss J.	6. McFarland T.
7. Pepper G.	7. Christie A.
8. Barbeary A.	8. Willis T.
9. Spencer B. (C)	9. Bracken C.
10. Russell F.	10. Burke F.
11. Arundell H.	11. Elliott T.
12. Ojomoh M.	12. Farrell O.
13. Lawrence O.	13. Tompkins N.
14. Cokanasiga J.	14. Caluori N.
15. Carreras S.	15. Daly E.
Substitutes
16. Tuipulotu K.	16. Dan T.
17. van Wyk F.	17. Mawi E.
18. du Toit T.	18. Riccioni M.
19. Hill T.	19. Wilson H.
20. Underhill S.	20. Michelow N.
21. van der Linde B.	21. van Zyl I.
22. Redpath C.	22. Lozowski A.
23. Reid M.	23. Malins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 10)
14', Bracken C. (Try),
15', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
27', Pepper G. 🟨,
38', Farrell O. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (31 - 12)
44', Arundell H. (Try),
45', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
46', Obano B. 🟨,
50', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
51', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
59', Spencer B. (Try),
67', Malins M. (Try),
69', Wilson H. 🟨,
72', Lawrence O. (Try),
73', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
74', Caluori N. (Try),
75', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
80', Arundell H. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 3.

Recent performances by Bath have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Saracens is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bath is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bath won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 499:574. (average 25:28.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 305:236. (average 30.5:23.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
29.03.26	Sale Sharks - Bath	26:31 ✺
20.03.26	Bath - Saracens	62:15 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
08.03.26	Leicester Tigers - Bath	46:21 ✺
28.02.26	Bath - Gloucester	38:26 ✺
21.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	31:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
28.03.26	Saracens - Northampton Saints	17:21 ✺
20.03.26	Bath - Saracens	62:15 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Northampton Saints - Saracens	35:33 ✺
14.02.26	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	26:31 ✺
07.02.26	Saracens - Harlequins	40:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
20.03.26	Bath - Saracens	62:15
30.11.25	Saracens - Bath	29:36
31.05.25	Saracens - Bath	36:26
28.12.24	Bath - Saracens	68:10
26.04.24	Bath - Saracens	12:15
21.10.23	Saracens - Bath	16:25
06.05.23	Bath - Saracens	61:29

Upcoming Matches