Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Blue Bulls		Saracens

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.47	23	2.62
	1.5	23	2.62
	1.64	27	2.34
	1.48	22	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	23.2 ↑ (20.83)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blue Bulls
61.1%

Draw
4%

Saracens
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

4.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

4.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blue Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-3%)

Blue Bulls - Saracens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Blue Bulls will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Blue Bulls to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Blue Bulls - Sharks	44:10 ✺
25.11.23	Blue Bulls - Connacht	53:27 ✺
17.11.23	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	31:23 ✺
10.11.23	Cardiff Rugby - Blue Bulls	12:18 ✺
04.11.23	Zebre - Blue Bulls	29:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Saracens - Northampton Saints	12:18 ✺
25.11.23	Saracens - Bristol Rugby	39:31 ✺
18.11.23	Harlequins - Saracens	10:38 ✺
12.11.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	12:50 ✺
04.11.23	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	32:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

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