Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 10

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Edinburgh		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.73	19	2.2
	2.3	26	1.61
	1.73	22	2.15
	1.71	20.11	2.27	Watch
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.64	50	2.2
	1.73	19	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.17)	25.3 ↑ (20.12)	2.12 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
52.2%

Draw
3.7%

Blue Bulls
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

4.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

4.9%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edinburgh's performance.

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blue Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edinburgh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blue Bulls than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blue Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Edinburgh - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: Edinburgh will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edinburgh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 5)
2nd Half (0 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 2.

Edinburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Blue Bulls has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Blue Bulls has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 162:158. (average 27:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:61. (average 27.3:20.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
3	Bulls	3	2	0	1	126:54	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.26	Bath - Edinburgh	63:10 ✺
09.01.26	Edinburgh - Gloucester	26:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	14:15 ✺
27.12.25	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	3:21 ✺
20.12.25	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	24:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.26	Section Paloise - Blue Bulls	24:26 ✺
10.01.26	Blue Bulls - Bristol Rugby	49:61 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Stormers - Blue Bulls	13:8 ✺
20.12.25	Sharks - Blue Bulls	21:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Northampton Saints - Blue Bulls	50:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
31.05.25	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	42:33
Challenge Cup Rugby
12.04.25	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	34:28
United Rugby Championship
28.09.24	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	22:16
17.11.23	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	31:23
24.09.22	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	33:31
16.10.21	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	17:10

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