The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blues 35.9%
Draw 4.1%
Hurricanes 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
3.5%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
3.5%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blues than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Blues - Hurricanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tu'ungafasi O.
1. Numia X.
2. Slater B.
2. Aumua A.
3. Renata M.
3. Tosi P.
4. Tuipulotu P.
4. Delany C.
5. Darry S.
5. Dearns W.
6. Wrampling-Alec M.
6. Shields B.
7. Segner A.
7. Lakai P.
8. Sotutu H.
8. Flanders D.
9. Nock S.
9. Enari E.
10. Barrett B.
10. Love R.
11. Clarke C.
11. Naholo K.
12. Ahki P.
12. Barrett J.
13. Taele X.
13. Proctor B.
14. Lam A.
14. Fineanganofo F.
15. Sullivan Z.
15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. Eklund K.
16. Tuputupu R.
17. Tupaea M.
17. Rakete-Stones P.
18. Yates F.
18. Lauaki S.
19. McWhannell L.
19. Walker-Leawere I.
20. Barnes T.
20. Iose B.
21. Clarke C.
21. Viljoen J.
22. Christie F.
22. Rova J.
23. Perofeta S.
23. Sullivan B.
Coaches
. Cotter V.
. Laidlaw C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 21)
8', Dearns W. (Try),
8', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
10', Barrett J. (Try),
11', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
18', Love R. (Missed Penalty),
37', Tosi P. (Try),
38', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
38', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
2nd Half (24 - 26)
41', Slater B. ↓, Eklund K. ↑,
45', Sotutu H. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
49', Wrampling-Alec M. (Try),
50', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
51', Tosi P. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
54', Naholo K. (Try),
55', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
55', Tuipulotu P. ↓, McWhannell L. ↑,
55', Nock S. ↓, Christie F. ↑,
58', Numia X. ↓, Rakete-Stones P. ↑,
58', Delany C. ↓, Walker-Leawere I. ↑,
58', Shields B. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
59', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
60', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
60', Barrett B. ↓, Perofeta S. ↑,
60', Barrett J. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
60', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
62', Naholo K. ↓, Sullivan B. ↑,
62', Tuputupu R. (Try),
63', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
63', Renata M. ↓, Yates F. ↑,
66', Lam A. (Try),
66', Perofeta S. (Missed Conversion),
69', Wrampling-Alec M. ↓, Barnes T. ↑,
69', Enari E. ↓, Viljoen J. ↑,
74', Eklund K. (Try),
75', Perofeta S. (Conversion Goal),
78', Rova J. 🟨,
78', Darry S. (Try),
79', Perofeta S. (Missed Conversion),
80+1', Lakai P. (Try),
80+2', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 3.
Blues has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hurricanes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hurricanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hurricanes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blues won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 500:536. (average 25:26.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 245:249. (average 24.5:24.9).
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United-kingdom
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Tu'ungafasi O. 
Dearns W. 
Shields B. 
Ahki P. 
Laidlaw C. 
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