Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Moana Pasifika		Hurricanes

	1	X	2
	17	51	1.01
	13	50	1.01
	19.05	24.20	1.01	Watch
	13	51	1.01
	21	50	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.61 ↓ (24.65)	45.24 ↑ (41.86)	1.01 ↑ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-30)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moana Pasifika
5.6%

Draw
2.1%

Hurricanes
92.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.8%

2.3%

93.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Moana Pasifika - Hurricanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hurricanes will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:47

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hala M.	1. Rakete-Stones P.
2. Sanerivi M.	2. Bason V.
3. Moli A.	3. Tosi P.
4. Craig A.	4. Delany C.
5. Poloniati V.	5. Walker-Leawere I.
6. Faiilagi M. (C)	6. Shields B.
7. Paea S.	7. Kirifi D. (C)
8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.	8. Iose B.
9. Pulu A.	9. Enari E.
10. Havili W.	10. Cashmore L.
11. Tuitama T.	11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Peni F.	12. Rova J.
13. Alaimalo S.	13. Proctor B.
14. Leota I.	14. Moorby J.
15. Vaihu G.	15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. Harada M.	16. Aumua A.
17. Pole A.	17. Numia X.
18. Faleiva L.	18. Lauaki S.
19. Tupou J.	19. Plummer H.
20. Tuitupou S. A.	20. Flanders D.
21. Nginingini S.	21. Viljoen J.
22. Garden-Bachop J.	22. Sullivan B.
23. Latu T.	23. Naholo K.
Coaches
. Umaga T.	. Laidlaw C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 19)
10', Moorby J. (Try),
11', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
22', Moorby J. (Try),
22', Harkin C. (Missed Conversion),
28', Kirifi D. (Try),
29', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
30', Tuitama T. (Try),
30', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (12 - 31)
45', Kirifi D. ↓, Flanders D. ↑,
51', Moorby J. (Try),
52', Harkin C. (Missed Conversion),
54', Cashmore L. ↓, Naholo K. ↑,
54', Tosi P. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
56', Naholo K. (Try),
57', Harkin C. (Missed Conversion),
57', Naholo K. (Try),
58', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
60', Pulu A. ↓, Nginingini S. ↑,
60', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
60', Poloniati V. ↓, Tupou J. ↑,
60', Paea S. ↓, Tuitupou S. A. ↑,
60', Bason V. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
60', Enari E. ↓, Viljoen J. ↑,
62', Leota I. (Try),
62', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
66', Rova J. (Try),
67', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
67', Moli A. ↓, Faleiva L. ↑,
68', Moorby J. (Try),
68', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
70', Vaihu G. ↓, Latu T. ↑,
72', Tuitama T. (Try),
73', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1.

Moana Pasifika is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hurricanes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hurricanes has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hurricanes is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 139:381. (average 17.4:47.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 59:109. (average 19.7:36.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moana Pasifika
Super Rugby
02.05.26	Moana Pasifika - Blues	19:45 ✺
25.04.26	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	27:17 ✺
17.04.26	Waratahs - Moana Pasifika	29:14 ✺
10.04.26	Moana Pasifika - Chiefs	17:62 ✺
27.03.26	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	19:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hurricanes Rugby
Super Rugby
01.05.26	Hurricanes - Crusaders	38:31 ✺
25.04.26	Hurricanes - Brumbies	45:12 ✺
18.04.26	Chiefs - Hurricanes	22:17 OT ✺
11.04.26	Hurricanes - Blues	42:19 ✺
27.03.26	Hurricanes - Reds	52:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
20.02.26	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	52:10
31.05.25	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	64:12
08.03.25	Moana Pasifika - Hurricanes	40:31
17.05.24	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	32:24
13.05.23	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	71:22
25.03.23	Moana Pasifika - Hurricanes	0:59
12.04.22	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	53:12

Moana Pasifika - Hurricanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide