Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Referee: Berry N. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Blues		Waratahs

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.05	41	8.5
	1.03	50	12
	1.03	50	10.5	Watch
	1.05	41	9
	1.04	50	14
	1.03	50	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)	46.14 ↑ (39.4)	10.71 ↑ (9.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blues
89.3%

Draw
2%

Waratahs
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.9%

2.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Blues - Waratahs Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Blues will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -19.5, OT - Blues (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blues (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fusitua J.	1. Bell A.
2. Riccitelli R.	2. Porecki D.
3. Renata M.	3. Tupou T.
4. Tuipulotu P. (C)	4. Lee-Warner F.
5. McWhannell L.	5. Amatosero M.
6. Segner A.	6. Sinclair H. (C)
7. Papalii D.	7. Gamble C.
8. Sotutu H.	8. Gleeson L.
9. Christie F.	9. Wilson T.
10. Barrett B.	10. Bowen J.
11. Clarke C.	11. Reilly T.
12. Lam A.	12. Walton J.
13. Ioane R.	13. O'Donnell H.
14. Telea M.	14. Kellaway A.
15. Evans C.	15. Creighton L.
Substitutes
16. Eklund K.	16. Vailanu M.
17. Lay J.	17. Lambert T.
18. Taavao A.	18. Botha D.
19. Beehre J.	19. Grant B.
20. Choat A.	20. Talataina L.
21. Nock S.	21. Grant J.
22. Plummer H.	22. Edmed T.
23. Forbes C.	23. Lancaster D.
Coaches
. Cotter V.	. McKellar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 6)
11', Telea M. (Try),
11', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
23', Bowen J. (Penalty Goal),
28', Ioane R. (Try),
31', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
34', Bowen J. (Penalty Goal),
37', Ioane R. (Try),
38', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
40', Telea M. (Try),
40+1', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 0)
46', Evans C. (Try),
47', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
53', Porecki D. ↓, Vailanu M. ↑,
53', Wilson T. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
58', Riccitelli R. (Try),
59', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
61', Riccitelli R. ↓, Eklund K. ↑,
61', Segner A. ↓, Choat A. ↑,
61', Sinclair H. ↓, Talataina L. ↑,
61', Lam A. ↓, Plummer H. ↑,
63', Reilly T. ↓, Lancaster D. ↑,
64', Christie F. ↓, Nock S. ↑,
64', Tupou T. ↓, Botha D. ↑,
64', Renata M. ↓, Taavao A. ↑,
64', Bowen J. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
65', Fusitua J. ↓, Lay J. ↑,
65', Bell A. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
66', Lee-Warner F. ↓, Grant B. ↑,
66', Tuipulotu P. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
69', Ioane R. (Try),
70', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
73', Barrett B. ↓, Forbes C. ↑,
80', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 5.

In recent matches, Blues has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Waratahs is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Waratahs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Blues has had a series of away games.

In this match, Blues is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Blues won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 397:270. (average 30.5:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 231:124. (average 38.5:20.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blues Rugby
Super Rugby
17.05.25	Moana Pasifika - Blues	27:21 ✺
09.05.25	Fijian Drua - Blues	5:34 ✺
02.05.25	Blues - Western Force	40:19 ✺
25.04.25	Reds - Blues	35:21 ✺
18.04.25	Crusaders - Blues	25:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Waratahs Rugby
Super Rugby
24.05.25	Western Force - Waratahs	17:22 OT ✺
16.05.25	Waratahs - Crusaders	33:48 ✺
09.05.25	Waratahs - Reds	21:28 ✺
03.05.25	Brumbies - Waratahs	40:17 ✺
18.04.25	Fijian Drua - Waratahs	28:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
16.03.24	Waratahs - Blues	10:12
09.06.23	Blues - Waratahs	41:12
22.04.23	Blues - Waratahs	55:21
28.05.22	Waratahs - Blues	17:20
22.05.21	Blues - Waratahs	48:21
08.02.20	Waratahs - Blues	12:32
06.04.19	Blues - Waratahs	32:29

Blues - Waratahs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide