Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 12

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	TSN+
France	CANAL+ Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Sky Go


	Blues		Western Force

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.12	34	6
	1.12	40	6.6
	1.12	30.19	6.84	Watch
	1.12	29	6
	1.1	31	7
	1.12	40	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.14)	34.03 ↑ (28)	6.51 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blues
83%

Draw
2.7%

Western Force
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.8%

3.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Blues - Western Force Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Blues will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +15, OT - Western Force (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Force (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fusitua J.	1. Coxon R.
2. Riccitelli R.	2. Dolly N.
3. Renata M.	3. Robertson T.
4. Tuipulotu P. (C)	4. Williams J. (C)
5. McWhannell L.	5. Swain D.
6. Segner A.	6. De Crespigny N.
7. Papalii D.	7. Tizzano C.
8. Sotutu H.	8. Prinsep R.
9. Funaki T.	9. Robertson H.
10. Barrett B.	10. Donaldson B.
11. Lam A.	11. Grealy M.
12. Taele X.	12. Stewart H.
13. Ioane R.	13. Kuenzle B.
14. Forbes C.	14. Potter H.
15. Perofeta S.	15. Beale K.
Substitutes
16. Eklund K.	16. Alcock A.
17. Tupaea M.	17. Moli A.
18. Taavao A.	18. Smith J.
19. Beehre J.	19. Thompson J.
20. Christie C.	20. Harris W.
21. Choat A.	21. White N.
22. Nock S.	22. Burey M.
23. Evans C.	23. Poolman G.
Coaches
. Cotter V.	. Cron S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 7)
16', Renata M. (Try),
17', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
20', Forbes C. (Try),
20', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
38', Tizzano C. (Try),
39', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 12)
41', Perofeta S. ↓, Lam A. ↑,
42', Lam A. (Try),
43', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
47', Beale K. (Try),
49', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
49', Segner A. ↓, Choat A. ↑,
53', Robertson H. ↓, White N. ↑,
53', Coxon R. ↓, Moli A. ↑,
54', McWhannell L. (Try),
55', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
56', Renata M. ↓, Taavao A. ↑,
56', McWhannell L. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
59', Forbes C. (Try),
60', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
61', Grealy M. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
61', Prinsep R. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
61', Williams J. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
64', Fusitua J. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
64', Riccitelli R. ↓, Eklund K. ↑,
67', Dolly N. (Try),
68', Dolly N. ↓, Alcock A. ↑,
69', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
69', Robertson T. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
72', Beale K. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
72', Funaki T. ↓, Nock S. ↑,
76', Beehre J. (Try),
77', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Blues is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Blues won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 255:125. (average 28.3:13.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 176:80. (average 29.3:13.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blues Rugby
Super Rugby
25.04.25	Reds - Blues	35:21 ✺
18.04.25	Crusaders - Blues	25:22 ✺
12.04.25	Blues - Moana Pasifika	36:17 ✺
05.04.25	Blues - Hurricanes	19:18 ✺
22.03.25	Blues - Crusaders	19:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Western Force Rugby
Super Rugby
25.04.25	Chiefs - Western Force	56:22 ✺
19.04.25	Western Force - Hurricanes	17:17 OT ✺
05.04.25	Western Force - Highlanders	29:20 ✺
29.03.25	Reds - Western Force	28:24 ✺
23.03.25	Western Force - Fijian Drua	52:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
05.04.24	Blues - Western Force	50:3
25.03.23	Blues - Western Force	30:17
29.04.22	Western Force - Blues	18:22
12.06.21	Blues - Western Force	31:21
01.04.17	Blues - Western Force	24:15
21.05.16	Western Force - Blues	13:17
02.05.15	Blues - Western Force	41:24

Blues - Western Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide