Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 11Date: 25 April 2025, FridayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | TSN+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Disney+ |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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 |
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 |
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Reds |
|
Blues |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.83 |
19 |
2.05 |
|
 |
1.8 |
19 |
2.1 |
|
 |
1.78 |
23 |
2.15 |
|
 |
1.89 |
22.98 |
2.34 |
|
 |
1.73 |
23 |
2.1 |
|
 |
1.73 |
19 |
2.1 |
|
 |
1.78 |
23 |
2.15 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.96) |
21.28 ↑ (20) |
2.14 ↑ (1.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is -0%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Reds 52.1% | Draw 4.4% | Blues 43.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blues than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Reds - Blues Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Faagase S.
| 1. Fusitua J.
|
2. Asiata R.
| 2. Eklund K.
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3. Nonggorr Z.
| 3. Taavao A.
|
4. Canham J.
| 4. Tuipulotu P.
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5. Salakaia-Loto L.
| 5. Beehre J.
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6. Uru S.
| 6. Christie C.
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7. Mcreight F.
| 7. Segner A.
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8. Brial J.
| 8. Sotutu H.
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9. McDermott T.
| 9. Christie F.
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10. Lynagh T.
| 10. Plummer H.
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11. Ryan T.
| 11. Telea M.
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12. Paisami O.
| 12. Lam A.
|
13. Pakeho D.
| 13. Ioane R.
|
14. Anderson L.
| 14. Forbes C.
|
15. Campbell J.
| 15. Sullivan Z.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Blake G.
| 16. Riccitelli R.
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17. Hodgman A.
| 17. Tupaea M.
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18. De Lutiis M.
| 18. Tuipulotu H.
|
19. Blyth A.
| 19. McWhannell L.
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20. Smith R.
| 20. Choat A.
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21. Bryant J.
| 21. Nock S.
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22. Thomas K.
| 22. Barrett B.
|
23. Murray H.
| 23. Evans C.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Kiss L.
| . Cotter V.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 7)
- 1', Lynagh T. (Try),
- 6', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Lynagh T. (Try),
- 8', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Telea M. 🟥,
- 37', Eklund K. (Try),
- 38', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 14)
- 51', McDermott T. (Try),
- 52', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Telea M. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 52', Christie C. ↓, Choat A. ↑,
- 52', Eklund K. ↓, Riccitelli R. ↑,
- 53', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 53', Faagase S. ↓, Hodgman A. ↑,
- 55', Plummer H. ↓, Barrett B. ↑,
- 56', Beehre J. ↓, McWhannell L. ↑,
- 60', Anderson L. (Try),
- 60', Christie F. ↓, Nock S. ↑,
- 61', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Canham J. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
- 62', Nonggorr Z. ↓, De Lutiis M. ↑,
- 66', Nock S. (Try),
- 66', Asiata R. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
- 66', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
- 67', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Fusitua J. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
- 68', Brial J. ↓, Bryant J. ↑,
- 68', Blake G. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
- 71', Asiata R. (Try),
- 71', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Lynagh T. ↓, Murray H. ↑,
- 76', Segner A. (Try),
- 77', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).Last 5 head-to-head matches Reds won 1. The game of competitors is shaky now. Reds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match. Our prediction for today's Reds to win the game is with odds 1.8.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Reds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 235:351 (average 21.4:31.9). Including matches at home between the teams Reds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 150:181 (average 25:30.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 27.04.24 | Reds - Blues | 34:41 | | 19.05.23 | Reds - Blues | 26:45 | | 14.05.22 | Blues - Reds | 53:26 | | 04.06.21 | Reds - Blues | 24:31 | | 07.06.19 | Reds - Blues | 29:28 | | 29.06.18 | Blues - Reds | 39:16 | | 02.06.17 | Blues - Reds | 34:29 |
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