Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Sandy Park (Exeter)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Exeter Chiefs		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.25	23	3.85
				Watch
	1.25	21	4
	1.26	26	4.18
	1.26	23	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	23.8 ↑ (21)	4 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
73.2%

Draw
3.9%

Glasgow Warriors
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

4.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Exeter Chiefs - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: Exeter Chiefs will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 3.

Exeter Chiefs is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Glasgow Warriors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Glasgow Warriors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Exeter Chiefs is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 237-166.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter Chiefs won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 162-65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
06.01.24	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	36:42 ✺
29.12.23	Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	14:24 ✺
23.12.23	Exeter Chiefs - Leicester Tigers	29:10 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.23	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	32:24 ✺
09.12.23	Toulon - Exeter Chiefs	18:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWWWW
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
30.12.23	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	19:14 ✺
22.12.23	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	22:10 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.12.23	Aviron Bayonnais - Glasgow Warriors	11:12 ✺
08.12.23	Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints	19:28 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.12.23	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	40:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
15.01.22	Exeter Chiefs - Glasgow Warriors	52:17
18.12.21	Glasgow Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	22:7
13.12.20	Exeter Chiefs - Glasgow Warriors	42:0
11.01.20	Glasgow Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	31:31
23.11.19	Exeter Chiefs - Glasgow Warriors	34:18
20.01.18	Glasgow Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	28:21
14.10.17	Exeter Chiefs - Glasgow Warriors	24:15

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