Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Aviron Bayonnais		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.5
	1.33	21	3.3
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.39	28	3.13
	1.36	24	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	23.4 ↑ (20.88)	3.28 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aviron Bayonnais
68%

Draw
3.9%

Glasgow Warriors
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

4.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

4.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aviron Bayonnais's performance.

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aviron Bayonnais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glasgow Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aviron Bayonnais - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:22

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bayonne is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bayonne to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.12.23	Munster - Aviron Bayonnais	17:17 ✺
French Top 14
02.12.23	Aviron Bayonnais - Montpellier	34:19 ✺
25.11.23	Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais	42:29 ✺
18.11.23	Aviron Bayonnais - Section Paloise	35:16 ✺
11.11.23	La Rochelle - Aviron Bayonnais	18:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLWL
- Glasgow Warriors
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.23	Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints	19:28 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.12.23	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	40:29 ✺
25.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:20 ✺
18.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	26:12 ✺
11.11.23	Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors	23:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

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