Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Glasgow Warriors		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.4	21	2.9
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.4	26	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	23.5 ↑ (22.67)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
67.5%

Draw
3.9%

Northampton Saints
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

4.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

3.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glasgow Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:19

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Glasgow Warriors is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Glasgow Warriors to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Glasgow Warriors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 57-65.

Including matches at home between the teams Glasgow Warriors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 42-46.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
01.12.23	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	40:29 ✺
25.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:20 ✺
18.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	26:12 ✺
11.11.23	Ospreys - Glasgow Warriors	23:31 ✺
03.11.23	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	20:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Saracens - Northampton Saints	12:18 ✺
24.11.23	Northampton Saints - Harlequins	36:33 ✺
18.11.23	Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints	26:17 ✺
12.11.23	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	34:19 ✺
04.11.23	Northampton Saints - Bath	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.16	Northampton Saints - Glasgow Warriors	19:15
21.11.15	Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints	15:26
Heineken Cup
19.01.13	Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints	27:20

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