Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leinster		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.02	51	13
	1.02	34	11
	1.04	40	10
	1.03	48.48	12.67	Watch
	1.02	51	13
	1.03	50	19
	1.04	40	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.03)	44.93 ↓ (45.47)	12.67 ↑ (11.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leinster
90.6%

Draw
2.1%

Clermont
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.1%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leinster - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Porter A.	1. Falgoux E.
2. Kelleher R.	2. Fourcade E.
3. Clarkson T.	3. Alaalatoa M.
4. McCarthy J.	4. Yato P.
5. Ryan J.	5. Simmons R.
6. Deegan M.	6. Tixeront K.
7. van der Flier J.	7. Fischer A.
8. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)	8. Lee F. (C)
9. Gibson-Park J.	9. Jauneau B.
10. Prendergast S.	10. Simone I.
11. O'Brien J.	11. Raka A.
12. Henshaw R.	12. Moala G.
13. Ringrose G.	13. Fouyssac P.
14. Turner L.	14. Tauzin L.
15. Barrett J.	15. Newsome A.
Substitutes
16. McCarthy G.	16. Massa B.
17. Healy C.	17. Akhaladze G.
18. Slimani R.	18. Ojovan C.
19. Snyman R.	19. Rixen O.
20. Conan J.	20. Chalus A.
21. Gunne F.	21. Bezy S.
22. Byrne R.	22. Urdapilleta B.
23. Osborne A.	23. Giral T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 7)
5', Raka A. (Try),
6', Jauneau B. (Conversion Goal),
22', Ringrose G. (Try),
23', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
26', Barrett J. (Try),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Yato P. 🟨,
49', Prendergast S. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Clermont is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clermont could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leinster is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leinster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 55:70 (average 18.3:23.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Leinster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leinster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.24	Bristol Rugby - Leinster	12:35 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.24	Ulster - Leinster	20:27 ✺
26.10.24	Leinster - Lions	24:6 ✺
19.10.24	Connacht - Leinster	12:33 ✺
12.10.24	Leinster - Munster	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Clermont - Benetton Treviso	28:0 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Clermont - Castres	54:10 ✺
23.11.24	Lyon - Clermont	22:30 ✺
02.11.24	Clermont - Bordeaux Bègles	32:27 ✺
26.10.24	Stade Français - Clermont	36:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
23.04.17	Clermont - Leinster	27:22
Heineken Cup
15.12.12	Leinster - Clermont	21:28
09.12.12	Clermont - Leinster	15:12

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