Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand ROA
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	More Than Sports TV
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Bristol Rugby		Leinster

	1	X	2
	3.75	26	1.29
	3.75	26	1.25
	3.8	18	1.31
	3.95	19.14	1.31	Watch
	3.75	26	1.29
	3.78	36	1.26
	3.8	18	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.23)	24.16 ↑ (21.9)	1.29 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
24.4%

Draw
3.8%

Leinster
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

4.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Bristol Rugby - Leinster Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Genge E.	1. Boyle J.
2. Thacker H.	2. Kelleher R.
3. Lahiff M.	3. Slimani R.
4. Dun J.	4. McCarthy J.
5. Owen J.	5. Ryan J.
6. Grondona S.	6. Deegan M.
7. Harding F. (C)	7. van der Flier J.
8. Mata V.	8. Conan J. (C)
9. Randall H.	9. Gibson-Park J.
10. MacGinty A.	10. Prendergast S.
11. Ibitoye G.	11. O'Brien J.
12. Janse van Rensburg B.	12. Henshaw R.
13. Ravouvou K.	13. Ringrose G.
14. Bates J.	14. Larmour J.
15. Lane R.	15. Frawley C.
Substitutes
16. Oghre G.	16. McCarthy G.
17. Woolmore J.	17. Porter A.
18. Chawatama L.	18. Clarkson T.
19. Luatua S.	19. Snyman R.
20. Grondona B.	20. Sweetman-Doris C.
21. Marmion K.	21. McGrath L.
22. Jenkins J.	22. Byrne R.
23. Elizalde B.	23. Barrett J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 7)
28', Kelleher R. 🟨,
30', Deegan M. 🟨,
30', Lahiff M. (Try),
32', Janse van Rensburg B. (Conversion Goal),
33', Larmour J. (Try),
34', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
39', McCarthy J. ↓, McCarthy G. ↑,
2nd Half (5 - 28)
53', Prendergast S. (Try),
53', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
56', Barrett J. (Try),
56', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
57', Prendergast S. (Try),
57', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
63', van der Flier J. (Try),
64', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
75', Oghre G. (Try),

Preview

Bristol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leinster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leinster is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
29.11.24	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	24:48 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
24.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Ampthill	40:15 ✺
09.11.24	Bath - Bristol Rugby	78:19 ✺
02.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	67:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.24	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	31:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
29.11.24	Ulster - Leinster	20:27 ✺
26.10.24	Leinster - Lions	24:6 ✺
19.10.24	Connacht - Leinster	12:33 ✺
12.10.24	Leinster - Munster	26:12 ✺
05.10.24	Benetton Treviso - Leinster	5:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

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