Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 8


	Lions		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.03	51	11
	1.02	34	11
	1.05	40	9.75
	1.04	48.64	11.65	Watch
	1.04	34	10
	1.03	50	16
	1.05	40	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.09)	42.52 ↑ (27)	11.31 ↑ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
89.6%

Draw
2.2%

Section Paloise
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.2%

3.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lions - Section Paloise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schoeman J.	1. Seneca R.
2. Botha P.	2. Jooste D.
3. Ntlabakanye A.	3. Papidze G.
4. Schoeman R.	4. Picquette R.
5. Nothnagel R.	5. Maximin J.
6. Cairns J.	6. Tagitagivalu L.
7. Steenkamp W.	7. Tlili M.
8. Horn F.	8. Hamonou T.
9. van den Berg M.	9. Souverbie T.
10. Francis S.	10. Desperes A.
11. van der Merwe E.	11. Arfeuil G.
12. Louw M. (C)	12. Roudil E. (C)
13. Cronje E.	13. Klemenczak O.
14. Maxwane R.	14. Grandidier A.
15. Mafura T.	15. Mondinat C.
Substitutes
16. Visagie J.	16. Ruffenach R.
17. Kotze S.	17. Biziwu D.
18. Schoeman R.	18. Etchebehere A.
19. Delport R.	19. Kpoku J.
20. Pretorius J.	20. Templier V.
21. Steyn N.	21. Bouhier J.
22. Wolhuter K.	22. Valentino Q.
23. Rass M.	23. Luc A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 16)
9', Jooste D. (Try),
10', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
12', van der Merwe E. (Try),
13', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
16', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
20', van den Berg M. (Try),
21', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
24', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
38', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
40', Botha P. (Try),
2nd Half (24 - 19)
44', Desperes A. (Try),
45', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
48', Arfeuil G. 🟨,
49', Tagitagivalu L. 🟨,
49', (Penalty Try),
53', Schoeman J. (Try),
54', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
61', Schoeman R. (Try),
62', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
63', Ruffenach R. (Try),
70', Wolhuter K. (Penalty Goal),
75', Bouhier J. (Try),
76', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Section Paloise is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lions is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.24	Ospreys - Lions	30:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Munster - Lions	17:10 ✺
26.10.24	Leinster - Lions	24:6 ✺
19.10.24	Zebre - Lions	9:10 ✺
13.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Lions	19:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Section Paloise
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.24	Section Paloise - Newcastle Red Bulls	32:19 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	Section Paloise - Lyon	29:15 ✺
23.11.24	Montpellier - Section Paloise	30:3 ✺
02.11.24	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	23:33 ✺
26.10.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise	19:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

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