Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Mid Canterbury		North Otago

	1	X	2
	1.25	31	3.8
	1.28	31	3.68
	1.25	31	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 (1.26)	31 ↑ (28)	3.76 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mid Canterbury
72.7%

Draw
3%

North Otago
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

3.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mid Canterbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

North Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 7)
2nd Half (26 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mid Cant won 1.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, Mid Cant is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mid Cant won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 160:188. (average 26.7:31.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mid Cant won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 97:102. (average 32.3:34).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mid Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
26.09.25	Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury	43:47 ✺
19.09.25	Mid Canterbury - King Country	32:17 ✺
12.09.25	South Canterbury - Mid Canterbury	0:13 ✺
05.09.25	Mid Canterbury - East Coast	82:7 ✺
29.08.25	Wairarapa Bush - Mid Canterbury	33:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- North Otago Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
26.09.25	North Otago - South Canterbury	32:29 ✺
19.09.25	West Coast - North Otago	31:38 ✺
12.09.25	North Otago - Poverty Bay	59:33 ✺
05.09.25	North Otago - Thames Valley	45:36 ✺
29.08.25	East Coast - North Otago	19:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
20.09.24	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	21:28
04.10.19	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	34:10
31.08.18	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	33:34
01.09.17	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	31:25
21.10.16	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	24:36
26.08.16	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	40:32

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