Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	Montpellier		Harlequins

	1	X	2
	1.61	21	2.37
	1.62	19	2.3
	1.5	23	2.65
	1.58	21	2.39
	1.53	19	2.6
	1.67	26	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	21.5 (21.5)	2.45 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
58.1%

Draw
4.3%

Harlequins
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

4.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

4.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Harlequins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Montpellier - Harlequins Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Harlequins will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Montpellier to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 86-69.

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 42-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
02.04.22	Perpignan - Montpellier	13:23 ✺
26.03.22	Montpellier - Biarritz	37:22 ✺
20.03.22	Toulouse - Montpellier	35:10 ✺
12.03.22	Montpellier - Toulon	18:16 ✺
05.03.22	Castres - Montpellier	25:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Harlequin FC
English Premiership Rugby
03.04.22	London Irish - Harlequins	14:41 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
29.03.22	Harlequins - Sale Sharks	29:34 ✺
18.03.22	London Irish - Harlequins	34:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
13.03.22	Bristol Rugby - Harlequins	29:38 ✺
04.03.22	Harlequins - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
13.05.16	Harlequins - Montpellier	19:26
22.01.16	Montpellier - Harlequins	42:9
12.11.15	Harlequins - Montpellier	41:18

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