Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Munster		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.5
	1.36	21	3.1
	1.34	23	3.35
	1.36	22	3.15
	1.33	21	3.5
	1.3	23	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	22.17 ↑ (17)	3.43 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
69%

Draw
4.2%

Exeter Chiefs
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

5.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

5.3%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Munster's performance.

Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter Chiefs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Munster than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Munster that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter Chiefs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Munster - Exeter Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: Munster will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:17

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 8-13.

Munster is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Exeter Chiefs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Exeter Chiefs have a series of home games.

In this match Munster is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Munster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Munster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.04.22	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	13:8 ✺
United Rugby Championship
02.04.22	Munster - Leinster	19:34 ✺
25.03.22	Munster - Benetton Treviso	51:22 ✺
19.03.22	Lions - Munster	23:21 ✺
12.03.22	Blue Bulls - Munster	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Exeter Chiefs
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.04.22	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	13:8 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.04.22	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	42:22 ✺
27.03.22	Exeter Chiefs - Leicester Tigers	17:22 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.03.22	Exeter Chiefs - Worcester Warriors	31:29 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
12.03.22	Worcester Warriors - Exeter Chiefs	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
09.04.22	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	13:8
19.01.19	Munster - Exeter Chiefs	9:7
13.10.18	Exeter Chiefs - Munster	10:10

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