Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 8

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Munster		Leinster

	1	X	2
	2.63	21	1.53
	2.8	21	1.46
	2.8	20.94	1.49	Watch
	2.75	23	1.44
	2.77	36	1.45
	2.62	21	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.87)	23.82 ↑ (20.26)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
33.9%

Draw
3.9%

Leinster
62.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

4.6%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Munster - Leinster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 7)
2nd Half (8 - 6)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 1.

Leinster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leinster will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 310:401. (average 15.5:20.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 90:134. (average 12.9:19.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
20.12.25	Ospreys - Munster	10:26 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Munster - Gloucester	31:3 ✺
06.12.25	Bath - Munster	40:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Munster - Stormers	26:27 ✺
25.10.25	Munster - Connacht	17:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
19.12.25	Leinster - Ulster	24:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	15:23 ✺
06.12.25	Leinster - Harlequins	52:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster	10:24 ✺
25.10.25	Leinster - Zebre	50:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.10.25	Leinster - Munster	14:31
27.12.24	Munster - Leinster	7:28
12.10.24	Leinster - Munster	26:12
26.12.23	Munster - Leinster	3:9
25.11.23	Leinster - Munster	21:16
13.05.23	Leinster - Munster	15:16
26.12.22	Munster - Leinster	19:20

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Leinster - Munster	✺
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Leinster - Munster	✺

Munster - Leinster: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide