Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 12

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Munster		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	15
	1.01	45	13
	1.01	36.04	16.42	Watch
	1.01	34	15
	1.02	50	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	43.21 ↑ (41.31)	17.08 ↑ (15.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
92.4%

Draw
2.2%

Zebre
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.7%

2.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Munster - Zebre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:12

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 7)
2nd Half (14 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4.

Munster has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zebre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Munster is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Munster won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 724:247. (average 36.2:12.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 345:72. (average 38.3:8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Munster	3	1	1	1	72:74	8
16	Zebre	3	0	0	3	52:116	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	31:22 ✺
23.01.26	Munster - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Munster - Castres	29:31 ✺
11.01.26	Toulon - Munster	27:25 ✺
United Rugby Championship
02.01.26	Ulster - Munster	28:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
24.01.26	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	21:26 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Black Lion - Zebre	14:28 ✺
11.01.26	Zebre - Ospreys	23:19 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Zebre	47:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
28.09.24	Zebre - Munster	42:33
01.03.24	Munster - Zebre	45:29
01.10.22	Munster - Zebre	21:5
29.01.22	Zebre - Munster	17:34
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
11.06.21	Zebre - Munster	11:49
United Rugby Championship
30.11.20	Munster - Zebre	52:3
21.02.20	Zebre - Munster	0:28

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