Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Newcastle Red Bulls		La Rochelle

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.49	16	2.8
	1.55	20.63	2.64
	1.5	21	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.08)	19.66 ↓ (21.33)	2.74 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
61.6%

Draw
4.7%

La Rochelle
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

4.3%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Red Bulls's performance.

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Rochelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Newcastle Red Bulls - La Rochelle Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brocklebank A.	1. Penverne L.
2. McGuigan G. (C)	2. Garault G.
3. Palframan R.	3. Sorin K.
4. Hodgson J.	4. Lavault T.
5. Clarke F.	5. Huchet S.
6. Gordon T.	6. Richer E.
7. Christie T.	7. Andjisseramatchi L.
8. Leatherbarrow O.	8. Waqanisaravi W.
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Berjon T. (C)
10. Connon B.	10. Jurd D.
11. Spencer O.	11. Bosmorin H.
12. Beeckmans R.	12. Seguret A.
13. Hearle A.	13. Seuteni U.
14. Wade C.	14. Favre J.
15. Obatoyinbo E.	15. West I.
Substitutes
16. Adejimi S.	16. Latu S.
17. Rewcastle M.	17. Luaki C.
18. McCallum M.	18. Sclavi J.
19. Lee-Warner F.	19. Kuntelia A.
20. Parsons R.	20. Cancoriet J.
21. Elliott J.	21. Kaddouri A.
22. Healy B.	22. Elissalde S.
23. Cardall T.	23. Couillaud N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 15)
13', Connon B. (Penalty Goal),
23', West I. (Try),
31', Favre J. (Try),
36', Garault G. (Try),
39', West I. 🟨,
40', Obatoyinbo E. (Try),
2nd Half (10 - 11)
43', McCallum M. (Try),
44', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
56', Connon B. (Penalty Goal),
57', Lee-Warner F. 🟨,
63', Jurd D. (Penalty Goal),
77', Jurd D. (Penalty Goal),
80', Couillaud N. (Try),

Preview

Newcastle is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

La Rochelle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that La Rochelle will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
27.03.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:38 ✺
21.03.26	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Harlequins - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:14 ✺
20.02.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	21:49 ✺
06.02.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- La Rochelle
French Top 14
28.03.26	Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle	26:15 ✺
21.03.26	La Rochelle - Section Paloise	20:6 ✺
28.02.26	Castres - La Rochelle	26:31 ✺
14.02.26	La Rochelle - Montpellier	33:43 ✺
31.01.26	La Rochelle - Lyon	24:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLL

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