Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10


	Newport Gwent Dragons		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.2	21	1.67
	2.39	21.02	1.65	Watch
	2.05	21	1.8
	2.4	17	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.49)	20.2 ↓ (21.9)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
41.1%

Draw
4.6%

Montpellier
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

4.2%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newport Gwent Dragons - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reynolds J.	1. Forletta E.
2. Benjamin J.	2. Akrab L.
3. Coleman C.	3. Haouas M.
4. Davies J.	4. Verhaeghe F.
5. Screech M.	5. Duguid T.
6. Woodman R.	6. Martins N.
7. Basham T.	7. Soucouna Y.
8. Wainwright A.	8. Tauleigne M.
9. Lloyd M.	9. Bernadet A.
10. Reed W.	10. Barreau A.
11. Rosser E.	11. Tambwe M.
12. Owen A.	12. Vincent A. (C)
13. Wilson H.	13. Darmon T.
14. Dyer R.	14. Bridge G.
15. O'Brien A. (C)	15. Tisseron J.
Substitutes
16. Scarfe S.	16. Karkadze V.
17. Seiuli A.	17. Tabarot L.
18. Yendle L.	18. Hounkpatin W.
19. Nott G.	19. Veyrier J.
20. Langton-Cryer B.	20. Becognee A.
21. Blacker D.	21. Louwrens R.
22. Evans C.	22. Vincent T.
23. Rosser J.	23. Powell C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 18)
4', Barreau A. (Penalty Goal),
9', Barreau A. (Penalty Goal),
13', Tambwe M. (Try),
20', Tauleigne M. (Try),
21', Barreau A. (Conversion Goal),
27', Basham T. (Try),
28', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
40', O'Brien A. (Try),
40+2', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Montpellier is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dragons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Cardiff Rugby - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:23 ✺
26.10.24	Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:7 ✺
19.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso	21:31 ✺
13.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Lions	19:23 ✺
05.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
30.11.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Montpellier	9:6 ✺
23.11.24	Montpellier - Section Paloise	30:3 ✺
02.11.24	Castres - Montpellier	30:26 ✺
26.10.24	Montpellier - La Rochelle	16:0 ✺
19.10.24	Toulon - Montpellier	30:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
23.04.16	Montpellier - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:12

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