Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 1

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	North Otago		Mid Canterbury

	1	X	2
	2.66	26	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)	26 ↑ (25)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Otago
34.6%

Draw
3.5%

Mid Canterbury
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

3.7%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mid Canterbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Otago won 3.

Mid Cant might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, North Otago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 195:207. (average 27.9:29.6).

Including home matches between the teams, North Otago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 86:63. (average 28.7:21).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Mid Cant	8	6	0	2	305:214	33
3	North Otago	8	6	0	2	333:255	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Otago Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
18.10.25	North Otago - Horowhenua-Kapiti	64:47 ✺
10.10.25	North Otago - Poverty Bay	48:46 ✺
03.10.25	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	47:7 ✺
26.09.25	North Otago - South Canterbury	32:29 ✺
19.09.25	West Coast - North Otago	31:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWW
- Mid Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
17.10.25	Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley	21:18 ✺
10.10.25	Mid Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	21:19 ✺
03.10.25	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	47:7 ✺
26.09.25	Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury	43:47 ✺
19.09.25	Mid Canterbury - King Country	32:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
03.10.25	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	47:7
20.09.24	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	21:28
04.10.19	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	34:10
31.08.18	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	33:34
01.09.17	North Otago - Mid Canterbury	31:25
21.10.16	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	24:36
26.08.16	Mid Canterbury - North Otago	40:32

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