Match Info

Date: 3 March 2022, Thursday


	Provence Rugby		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.18	23	1.7
	2.14	22	1.7
	2.15	19	1.73
	2.2	25	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)	22 ↑ (17)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
42.5%

Draw
4.2%

Aviron Bayonnais
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

5.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

5.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-3%)

Provence Rugby - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:24

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence Rugby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 94-135.

Including matches at home between the teams Provence Rugby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 38-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
25.02.22	Nevers - Provence Rugby	32:10 ✺
18.02.22	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	24:20 ✺
11.02.22	Montauban - Provence Rugby	18:22 ✺
03.02.22	RC Narbonne - Provence Rugby	34:33 ✺
20.01.22	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	27:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Pro D2
24.02.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Colomiers	37:10 ✺
18.02.22	Béziers - Aviron Bayonnais	35:14 ✺
11.02.22	Aviron Bayonnais - RC Narbonne	41:16 ✺
28.01.22	Nevers - Aviron Bayonnais	13:41 ✺
21.01.22	Aviron Bayonnais - FC Grenoble	35:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
22.10.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Provence Rugby	47:19
21.12.18	Provence Rugby - Aviron Bayonnais	21:16
21.09.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Provence Rugby	34:19
11.03.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Provence Rugby	23:18
18.12.15	Provence Rugby - Aviron Bayonnais	17:15

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