Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 7

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: StoneX Stadium (London)

Referee: Pearce L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Discovery+, FloRugby.com


	Saracens		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.18	26	4.75
	1.19	30	4.5
	1.2	29.11	4.75	Watch
	1.2	29	4.5
	1.18	26	5.07	Watch
	1.2	36	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.25)	29.35 ↑ (25.25)	4.68 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saracens
77.2%

Draw
3.1%

Exeter Chiefs
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.7%

3.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saracens - Exeter Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.	1. Goodrick-Clarke W.
2. Dan T.	2. Yeandle J.
3. Street M.	3. Tchumbadze B.
4. Isiekwe N.	4. Jenkins D. (C)
5. Tizard H.	5. Zambonin A.
6. Gonzalez J.	6. Hooper T.
7. Earl B.	7. Roots E.
8. Willis T.	8. Fisilau G.
9. van Zyl I. (C)	9. Varney S.
10. Farrell O.	10. Skinner H.
11. Malins M.	11. Ridl C.
12. Tompkins N.	12. Ikitau L.
13. Cinti L.	13. Slade H.
14. Caluori N.	14. Feyi-Waboso I.
15. Daly E.	15. Woodburn O.
Substitutes
16. George J.	16. Heaven J.
17. Mawi E.	17. Sio S.
18. Riccioni M.	18. Roots J.
19. Wilson H.	19. Pearson L.
20. Christie A.	20. James K.
21. Bracken C.	21. Chapman C.
22. Burke F.	22. Haydon-Wood W.
23. Segun R.	23. Rigg W.
Coaches
. McCall M.	. Baxter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 13)
3', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
6', Caluori N. (Try),
6', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
11', Malins M. (Try),
12', Farrell O. (Missed Conversion),
26', Hooper T. 🟨,
31', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
34', Varney S. (Try),
35', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 17)
44', (Penalty Try),
45', Ridl C. 🟨,
46', Dan T. ↓, George J. ↑,
46', Street M. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
46', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
55', Caluori N. (Try),
55', Caluori N. ↓, Segun R. ↑,
56', Farrell O. (Missed Conversion),
56', Yeandle J. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
56', Tchumbadze B. ↓, Roots J. ↑,
56', Goodrick-Clarke W. ↓, Sio S. ↑,
58', Gonzalez J. ↓, Christie A. ↑,
63', Fisilau G. (Try),
64', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
64', Willis T. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
65', Hooper T. ↓, James K. ↑,
68', Fisilau G. (Try),
69', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
74', Farrell O. (Missed Penalty),
79', Slade H. (Try),
80', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 3.

Recent performances by Saracens have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Exeter is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Saracens is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 486:439. (average 24.3:22).

Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 251:118. (average 31.4:14.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Sharks - Saracens	28:23 ✺
06.12.25	Saracens - Clermont	47:10 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
30.11.25	Saracens - Bath	29:36 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:0 ✺
16.11.25	Harlequins - Saracens	21:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- Exeter Chiefs
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.25	Racing Métro - Exeter Chiefs	31:31 ✺
07.12.25	Exeter Chiefs - Cheetahs	42:12 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
28.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	26:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	22:17 ✺
14.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	34:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
25.01.25	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	31:22
06.10.24	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	29:14
27.01.24	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	40:22
14.10.23	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	65:10
31.12.22	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	35:3
22.10.22	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	20:22
24.04.22	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	38:22

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