Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Toulouse		Sharks

	1	X	2
	1	67	34
	1	30	17
	1	29	17
	1	51	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 ↓ (1.01)	44.25 ↓ (45.5)	22.25 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-31)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
93.7%

Draw
2.1%

Sharks
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.5%

5.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulouse - Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 50:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neti R.	1. Mazibuko L.
2. Marchand J. (C)	2. Swart E.
3. Merkler J.	3. Mdanda M.
4. Flament T.	4. Scheepers J.
5. Meafou E.	5. Orie M.
6. Banos L.	6. Romao M.
7. Jelonch A.	7. Hlekani B.
8. Roumat A.	8. Hatton N. (C)
9. Graou P.	9. Braude R.
10. Ntamack R.	10. Hendrikse J.
11. Kinghorn B.	11. Mapimpi M.
12. Gourgues K.	12. Venter F.
13. Thomas T.	13. Malan L. R.
14. Capuozzo A.	14. Penxe Y.
15. Ramos T.	15. Kunene H.
Substitutes
16. Cramont G.	16. Mbatha F.
17. Ainuu D.	17. Ngobese S.
18. Aldegheri D.	18. Dlamini C.
19. Brennan J.	19. Potgieter J.
20. Castro-Ferreira M.	20. Mavesere T.
21. Dupont A.	21. Hendrikse J.
22. Costes P.	22. Smith J.
23. Delibes D.	23. Sobahle P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 5)
4', Capuozzo A. (Try),
5', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Marchand J. (Try),
15', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
21', Marchand J. (Try),
22', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
24', Gourgues K. (Try),
25', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
26', Hatton N. (Try),
2nd Half (28 - 14)
50', Braude R. (Try),
50', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
63', Capuozzo A. (Try),
64', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
67', Castro-Ferreira M. (Try),
68', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
71', Capuozzo A. (Try),
72', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
78', Malan L. R. (Try),
78', (Conversion Goal),
80', Ramos T. (Try),

Preview

Toulouse is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 74:28. (average 37:14).

Including home match between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 54:20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
29.11.25	Toulouse - Racing Métro	48:24 ✺
22.11.25	Montauban - Toulouse	7:49 ✺
01.11.25	Toulouse - Stade Français	29:17 ✺
26.10.25	Toulouse - Toulon	59:24 ✺
18.10.25	Section Paloise - Toulouse	30:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWWL
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Connacht - Sharks	44:17 ✺
25.10.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	29:19 ✺
18.10.25	Sharks - Ulster	26:34 ✺
11.10.25	Leinster - Sharks	31:5 ✺
03.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	17:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
11.01.25	Sharks - Toulouse	8:20
08.04.23	Toulouse - Sharks	54:20

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