Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	beIN Sports
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV6
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay


	Ulster		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.75	21	1.44
	2.62	21	1.47
				Watch
	2.62	23	1.5
	2.84	19	1.45
	2.75	23	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.61)	21.4 ↑ (19.67)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulster
33.6%

Draw
4.3%

Toulouse
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

4.7%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

5.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ulster - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulster won 2.

Recent matches Ulster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ulster won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 142-138.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 83-59.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
01.01.24	Leinster - Ulster	21:22 ✺
22.12.23	Ulster - Connacht	20:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.12.23	Ulster - Racing Métro	31:15 ✺
09.12.23	Bath - Ulster	37:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Ulster - Edinburgh	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLL
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
06.01.24	Toulouse - Lyon	45:0 ✺
30.12.23	La Rochelle - Toulouse	29:8 ✺
23.12.23	Toulouse - Toulon	25:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.23	Harlequins - Toulouse	19:47 ✺
09.12.23	Toulouse - Cardiff Rugby	52:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
16.04.22	Ulster - Toulouse	23:30
09.04.22	Toulouse - Ulster	20:26
11.12.20	Ulster - Toulouse	22:29
20.09.20	Toulouse - Ulster	36:8
20.12.15	Toulouse - Ulster	23:25
11.12.15	Ulster - Toulouse	38:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.10.26	Stormers - Ulster	✺
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
01.11.26	Section Paloise - Toulouse	✺

Ulster - Toulouse