Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Ortega K. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Ñublense		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.37
	3	3.2	2.4
	3.18	3.08	2.47
	2.88	2.9	2.45
	3.1	3.13	2.41	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
30.7%

Draw
30.2%

LDU Quito
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Ñublense - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 33. Zalazar N. 5. Caroca R. 18. Cerezo B. 14. Campusano G. (C) 23. Dittborn S. 6. Reyes L. 11. Leiva J. 21. Rebolledo R. 26. Sosa I. 12. Rubio P.	22. Dominguez A. (G) 33. Quinonez L. 4. Ade R. 3. Mina R. 14. Quinteros J. 16. Martinez M. 18. Piovi L. (C) 10. Alvarado A. 21. Gonzalez Baquero S. 32. Ibarra R. 24. Paolo Guerrero
Substitutes
19. Abascia L. 22. Aranguiz P. 8. Cisterna R. 2. Cordova J. 17. Guerrero E. 13. Martinez W. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 10. Provoste B. 28. Rivera M. 35. Tempine J. 30. Valdes A.	9. Alzugaray L. 19. Angulo S. 11. Chala W. 46. Charcopa J. 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 23. Gabbarini A. (G) 30. Luna D. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 6. Rodriguez F. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 25. Valverde J. 5. Zambrano O.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Zubeldia L.

Preview

1st leg.

Ñublense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ñublense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
28.07.23	OHiggins - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
25.07.23	Ñublense - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.07.23	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.07.23	Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.07.23	Ñublense - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTT
- LDU Quito
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.23	LDU Quito - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.06.23	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	LDU Quito - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.23	LDU Quito - Libertad Loja	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTTW

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