Žalgiris - Hajduk Split: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday
  • Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • croatiaCroatiaHajduk TV
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    lithuaniaLithuaniaTV3
    polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    worldWorldOneFootball TV
    Žalgiris Hajduk Split
    Žalgiris Hajduk Split
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (4.22)
    3.49
    (3.67)
    1.96
    (1.79)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Žalgiris
    26.1%
    Draw
    26.5%
    Hajduk Split
    47.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    22.2% 25.5% 52.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    21.5% 26.3% 54%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    29.4% 17.6% 52.9%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Hajduk (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    12. LithuaniaSarkauskas V. (G)
    18. LithuaniaSesplaukis D.
      4. BelgiumKoy Lupano D.
    15. CroatiaBosancic P.
    21. GermanyFranke D.
    77. BelarusKendysh Y. (C)
    20. UkraineLytvynenko I.
    10. LithuaniaGolubickas P.
    19. UkraineBilenkyi S.
    70. CapeTeixeira B.
    11. SerbiaPetkovic N.
    33. CroatiaSilic T. (C)
    22. MadagascarAcapandie M.
    15. AustriaMaresic D.
      5. BelgiumVan Hoorenbeeck A.
    32. CroatiaHrgovic S.
    21. USAPukstas R.
      4. AlbaniaPajaziti A.
      7. GambiaSanyang A.
      9. Spainde Almeida D.
    23. CroatiaSoticek M.
    11. CroatiaSego M.
    Substitutes
      8. RomaniaAntal L.
    29. LithuaniaBicka K.
      6. CroatiaCapan M.
      9. LithuaniaJarusevicius G.
    23. GeorgiaMamatsashvili S.
      7. SerbiaMihajlovic N.
      1. VenezuelaOlses C. (G)
    14. LithuaniaSetkus M.
      5. RomaniaTurda G.
    13. LithuaniaUpstas K.
    27. LithuaniaVareika M.
    22. LithuaniaVerbickas O.
    19. AlbaniaBrruti E.
    20. Spaindel Moral A.
    99. UkraineFesyuk D. (G)
      3. CroatiaGabric R.
    26. UkraineGuram A.
    38. CroatiaHodak L.
    10. CroatiaLivaja M.
    17. CroatiaMelnjak D.
    14. KosovoRaci R.
      8. CanadaSigur N.
    44. CroatiaStipica D. (G)
    16. CroatiaSutalo A.
    Coaches
         LithuaniaSkerla A.
         SpainGarcia G.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 4', Kendysh Y. 🟨,
    • 5', 0 - 1, Sego M. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 14', Sego M. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 24', Bosancic P. 🟨,
    • 34', 1 - 1, Petkovic N. , Bilenkyi S. (A),
    • 44', 1 - 2, Sego M. ,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
    • 49', Van Hoorenbeeck A. , Raci R. ,
    • 51', Pukstas R. 🟨,
    • 56', 1 - 3, Pajaziti A. , Soticek M. (A),
    • 65', Lytvynenko I. , Capan M. ,
    • 67', Sego M. , Livaja M. ,
    • 67', Sanyang A. , Sutalo A. ,
    • 73', 1 - 4, de Almeida D. , Sutalo A. (A),
    • 75', 1 - 5, Pukstas R. ,
    • 75', Petkovic N. , Vareika M. ,
    • 75', Golubickas P. , Mihajlovic N. ,
    • 77', Sesplaukis D. 🟨,
    • 78', Pukstas R. , Sigur N. ,
    • 78', de Almeida D. , Brruti E. ,
    • 81', Bosancic P. , Turda G. ,
    • 81', Kendysh Y. , Verbickas O. ,
    • 86', 2 - 5, Capan M. ,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • Žalgiris is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In recent matches, Hajduk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
  • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Žalgiris Vilnius
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    30.07.26 Žalgiris - Dinamo Tbilisi 7:2
    Lithuanian TOPLYGA
    27.07.26 Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris 2:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    23.07.26 Dinamo Tbilisi - Žalgiris 3:0
    Lithuanian TOPLYGA
    19.07.26 Žalgiris - Transinvest 3:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    16.07.26 Žalgiris - Petrovac 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3
    WWLWW
    - Hajduk Split
    Croatian HNL
    02.08.26 Varaždin - Hajduk Split 2:1
    UEFA Europa League
    30.07.26 Paphos - Hajduk Split 4:0 AET
    23.07.26 Hajduk Split - Paphos 2:0
    16.07.26 Žilina - Hajduk Split 2:1
    09.07.26 Hajduk Split - Žilina 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6
    LLWLW
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Žalgiris Vilnius
    Lithuanian TOPLYGA
    23.08.26 Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai
    - Hajduk Split
    Croatian HNL
    23.08.26 Hajduk Split - Osijek
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    20.08.26 Hajduk Split - Raków Częstochowa