Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		Varzim

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	1.98
	4	3.5	1.77
	4.45	3.7	1.82
	4.35	3.67	1.78	Watch
	4.25	3.63	1.79	Watch
	4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.24)	3.54 ↑ (3.2)	1.82 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
22.9%

Draw
26.2%

Varzim
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 1 Dezembro's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

1 Dezembro - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Duarte F. (G) 26. Freitas J. 2. Cesinha 32. Ramos P. 13. Bernardo J. 5. Sousa A. 19. Valente A. 23. Lisandro Menezes 79. Cardoso D. 17. Harramiz S. 11. Batalha R.	51. Momo Mbaye (G) 4. Henriques L. 25. Chicao 3. Nuno P. 23. Monteiro J. 8. Oliveira R. (C) 22. Araujo C. 19. Lopes A. 80. Gomes A. 99. Moshood M. 14. Graca H.
Substitutes
30. Aguas G. 25. Bonito D. 18. Dias L. 1. Passos C. (G) 99. Pedro Clemente 6. Santos T. 20. Silva R. 77. Teixeira T.	49. Costa P. (G) 13. Freitas R. 6. Pacheco F. 32. Pedrosa R. 10. Pereira N. 2. Pimenta G. 17. Sequeira D. 9. Silva Nhaga I. 55. Ze Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽,
42', Lopes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valente A. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
49', Harramiz S. 🟨,
60', Harramiz S. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
63', Cesinha 🟨,
64', Gomes A. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
66', Freitas J. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Araujo C. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
73', Lopes A. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
73', Moshood M. ↓, Silva Nhaga I. ↑,
77', Sousa A. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
77', Cardoso D. ↓, Aguas G. ↑,
84', Oliveira R. ↓, Pedrosa R. ↑,
84', Graca H. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Araujo C. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varzim might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
03.05.25	Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Amarante - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Belenenses - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	1 Dezembro - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTLW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Varzim	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Varzim - Belenenses	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Atlético CP - Varzim	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Varzim - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Amarante - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.25	Varzim - 1 Dezembro	2:0

1 Dezembro - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide