Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Martins Diniz R. (Bra)


	ABC		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.55
	2.95	2.85	2.5
	2.98	2.92	2.81
	2.88	2.75	2.7
	2.91	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)	2.86 ↓ (3.25)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
32.3%

Draw
32.6%

Atlético Goianiense
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	33.3%	46.7%

ABC - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simao (G) 16. Alemao 15. Afonso 17. Richardson 2. Gedeilson 14. Wellington Reis 28. Wallace 10. Thonny Anderson 7. Matheus Anjos 9. Felipe Garcia 11. Fabio Costa	1. Diego Loureiro (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Lucas Gazal 4. Heron 6. Jefferson 5. Renato 8. Rhaldney (C) 7. Matheus Sales 10. Shaylon 9. Daniel Lima 11. Kelvin
Substitutes
4. Habraao 8. Jean Patrick 27. Junior Todinho 22. Lucas Tocantins 18. Luiz Gustavo 75. Maycon Douglas 20. Ramon 90. Wellington (G) 31. Welliton	19. Airton 18. David Braga 14. Emerson Santos 16. Joao Maistro 15. Ramon Menezes 13. Renan Silva 12. Ronaldo Strada (G) 17. Santos Assuncao G.
Coaches
Aal A.	Valentim A.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 3.

ABC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ABC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in ABC: Daniel Vancan (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Rodrigo Soares (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Luiz Fernando (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches ABC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.23	Mirassol - ABC	3:2 ✺
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Sport Recife - ABC	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
23.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Ituano - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	0:3 ✺
02.06.23	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.10.15	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
07.07.15	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	1:2
23.09.14	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
20.05.14	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	2:0
Copa do Brasil
14.05.14	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	1:2
07.05.14	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.13	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	0:1

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