Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV4
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	AEK Athens		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3.3	4	2.05
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.4	4	2.05	Watch
	3.28	3.99	2.12
	3.29	3.99	2.09
	3.2	3.8	2
	3.38	3.88	2.04
	3.3	3.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.88)	3.91 ↓ (3.92)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
29%

Draw
24.5%

Brighton & Hove Albion
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brighton & Hove Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brighton & Hove Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	27%	56.8%

AEK Athens - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 21 - 56.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 40.8% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic C. (G) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 5. Amrabat N. 13. Pineda O. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 8. Gacinovic M. 10. Zuber S. 20. Mantalos P.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 41. Hinshelwood J. 3. Igor 5. Dunk L. (C) 34. Veltman J. 11. Gilmour B. 13. Gross P. 24. Adingra S. 28. Ferguson E. 22. Mitoma K. 9. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
11. Araujo S. 30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 39. Ginis P. (G) 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 14. Ponce E. 29. Sidibe D.	20. Baleba C. 40. Buonanotte F. 48. Chouchane S. 8. Dahoud M. 56. Duffus J. 45. Hinchy J. 50. Jackson B. 52. Kavanagh L. 38. McGill T. (G) 6. Milner J. 23. Steele J. (G)
Coaches
Almeyda M.	De Zerbi R.

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Brighton & Hove will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Estupinan P. (Injury) Fati A. (Calf Injury) Lamptey T. (Muscle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Injury) Webster A. (Knock) Welbeck D. (Muscle Injury) van Hecke J. P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in AEK: Garcia L. (Injury) Jonsson J. (Injury) Moukoudi H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Igor (Ankle Injury) Mitoma K. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
26.11.23	PAS Giannina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	AEK Athens - Lamia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	AEK Athens - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
04.11.23	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
30.10.23	AEK Athens - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
25.11.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Ajax - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.11.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - AEK Athens	2:3

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