Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Ajax		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75
	3.9	4.1	1.78
	4.05	4.35	1.78	Watch
	4.07	4.46	1.79
	4.07	4.46	1.77
	4	4.2	1.7
	4.3	4.6	1.81
	4	4.2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.22)	4.32 ↑ (4.24)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
23.7%

Draw
22.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

22.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.5%	14.8%	55.7%

Ajax - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 29.5%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 34 - 55.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 43.2% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ramaj D. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 4. Hato J. 24. Vos S. 38. Hlynsson K. 8. Taylor K. 23. Berghuis S. 9. Brobbey B. 7. Bergwijn S. (C)	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 6. Milner J. 29. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 34. Veltman J. 8. Dahoud M. 13. Gross P. 24. Adingra S. 31. Fati A. 22. Mitoma K. 9. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
10. Akpom Ch. 30. Avila G. 11. Forbs C. 39. Godts M. 42. Martha A. 18. Medic J. 19. Mikautadze G. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 17. Salah-Eddine A. 51. Setford C. (G) 25. Sosa B. 33. Tahirovic B.	20. Baleba C. 40. Buonanotte F. 56. Duffus J. 30. Estupinan P. 28. Ferguson E. 11. Gilmour B. 41. Hinshelwood J. 3. Igor 14. Lallana A. 38. McGill T. (G) 23. Steele J. (G) 4. Webster A.
Coaches
van 't Schip J.	De Zerbi R.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brighton & Hove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Gorter J. (Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Welbeck D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) Rulli G. (Shoulder Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Estupinan P. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
05.11.23	Ajax - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
02.11.23	Ajax - Volendam	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.10.23	Utrecht - Ajax	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
04.11.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
21.10.23	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax	2:0

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