Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	AEK Athens		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.88
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.45	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.49	3.51	2.9
	2.49	3.51	2.89
	2.38	3.4	2.75
	2.45	3.48	2.88
	2.5	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.45)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	2.85 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
39%

Draw
27.5%

Olympique Marseille
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.6%	21.6%	29.7%

AEK Athens - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). Marseille will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 32.5% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 29. Sidibe D. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 5. Amrabat N. 13. Pineda O. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 8. Gacinovic M. 7. Garcia L. 20. Mantalos P.	16. Lopez P. (G) 7. Clauss J. 99. Mbemba Ch. 5. Balerdi L. 12. Lodi R. 29. Ndiaye I. 27. Veretout J. 19. Kondogbia G. (C) 11. Harit A. 20. Correa J. 9. Vitinha
Substitutes
11. Araujo S. 19. Eliasson N. 25. Galanopoulos K. 39. Ginis P. (G) 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 14. Ponce E. 99. Theocharis G. (G) 10. Zuber S.	36. Blanco R. (G) 4. Gigot S. 18. Meite A. 62. Murillo M. 34. Nadir B. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 23. Sarr I. 45. Sciortino P. 37. Soglo E. 33. Tunkadi A.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Gattuso G.

Preview

AEK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marseille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marseille have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stankovic C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Marseille: Gueye P. (Suspended) Ounahi A. (Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Araujo S. (Injury) Hajsafi E. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
04.11.23	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
30.10.23	AEK Athens - PAOK	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Olympique Marseille - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
22.10.23	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWW
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
04.11.23	Olympique Marseille - Lille	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Olympique Marseille - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.10.23	Nice - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.10.23	Olympique Marseille - AEK Athens	3:1

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