Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.05	2.95
	2.42	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.43	3.13	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.41	3.13	3.01	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	2.99 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
38.6%

Draw
30.3%

Exeter City
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 3 - 50%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 2. Asiimwe N. 8. Maycock C. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 3. Seddon S. 29. Sasu A. 14. Stevens M.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 6. Brierley E. 2. McMillan J. 12. Cole R. 17. Higgins A. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
15. Bauer P. 11. Browne M. 9. Bugiel O. 16. Hackford A. 21. Hippolyte M. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 7. Orsi-Dadomo D.	10. Aitchison J. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Cox S. 8. Francis E. 7. Mendes C. 34. Oakes L. 16. Swinkels S.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Caldwell G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Sasu A. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
62', McMillan J. 🟨,
64', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
64', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
65', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
65', Higgins A. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
68', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
76', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
87', Brierley E. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
88', Wareham J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
88', Smith A. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
90+1', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+9', Seddon S. 🟨,
90+9', Aitchison J. 🟨,
90+9', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
90+11', Bishop N. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Magennis J. (Inactive) Rydel R. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S. (Inactive) Higgins A. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
26.12.25	AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTLW
- Exeter City
English League One
26.12.25	Cardiff City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Exeter City - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.12.25	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
English League Two
28.12.15	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
29.08.15	AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City	2:1
14.03.15	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	3:2
28.12.14	AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City	4:1
25.01.14	AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City	2:1
17.08.13	Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon	2:0

Upcoming Matches