Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 30

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Doncaster Rovers		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.78	3.5	4.5
	1.9	3.35	3.65
	1.81	3.73	4.66
	1.78	3.5	4.5
	1.76	3.68	4.6	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	3.56 ↓ (3.72)	4.33 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doncaster Rovers
52.1%

Draw
26.3%

Hartlepool United
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Hartlepool United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Doncaster Rovers - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 22).

Doncaster has the most likely position - 13 (9.06%), has project points - 63, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (37.89%), has project points - 38, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 6, small importance 29, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Doncaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartlepool is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Doncaster is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
28.01.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	4:1 ✺
07.01.23	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
01.01.23	Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
29.12.22	Doncaster Rovers - Rochdale	4:3 ✺
26.12.22	Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Hartlepool United
English League Two
28.01.23	Hartlepool United - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Carlisle United - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Gillingham - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Hartlepool United - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.10.22	Hartlepool United - Doncaster Rovers	2:1
06.05.17	Hartlepool United - Doncaster Rovers	2:1
19.11.16	Doncaster Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:1
English League One
02.03.13	Doncaster Rovers - Hartlepool United	3:0
13.10.12	Hartlepool United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1

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