The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 33.9%
Draw 29.8%
Colchester United 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.5%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
29.7%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Hartlepool United aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
Hartlepool United - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 18).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (33.88%), has project points - 39, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Colchester has the most likely position - 20 (13.57%), has project points - 51, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality6, importance36, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.
Hartlepool is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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