Match Info

USL League One

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Spokane Velocity		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.68	3.68	4.47
	1.61	4.11	4.87	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.4
	1.63	3.6	4.78	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	4.45 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
54%

Draw
25.6%

Sarasota Paradise
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+1%)

Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 5. Margvelashvili G. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 10. Gil L. 8. Vinyals N. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 9. Brett N.	1. Sutton A. (G) 32. Bolduc M. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 14. Pettersen J. 16. Rodriguez A. 7. Bryant E. 27. O'Dwyer C. 17. Bolanos J. 19. McLaughlin G.
Substitutes
37. Buck J. 20. Covi I. 7. Gallardo J. 14. Hernandez M. 11. John-Brown S. 13. Opara L. 18. Waldeck D. 22. Wells R.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 50. Brulinski D. 11. Karani S. 46. Roed S. 20. Tainio M. 3. Valentine R. 8. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', McLaughlin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Margvelashvili G. 🟨,
64', Mensah M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
64', Vinyals N. ↓, John-Brown S. ↑,
64', Alexandre M. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
69', McLaughlin G. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
69', Bolduc M. ↓, Brulinski D. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Waldeck D. ⚽, Fernandez C. (A),
77', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
78', Rodriguez A. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
78', Bryant E. ↓, Roed S. ↑,
81', Lewis A. 🟨,
87', Gil L. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Spokane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarasota Paradise has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Spokane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spokane is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL Cup
17.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
USL League One
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Corpus Christi - Spokane Velocity	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Sacramento Republic - Spokane Velocity	4:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Spokane Velocity - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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