Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	AVS		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.71	Watch
	4.15	3.95	1.72	Watch
	4.38	4.13	1.8
	4.14	4.13	1.76	Watch
	4	3.8	1.75
	4.29	3.97	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.86)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	1.76 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
22.6%

Draw
23.9%

Estoril Praia
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

25.2%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.4%	94.6%

AVS - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estoril Praia will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 42. Devenish C. (C) 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas L. 8. Pedro Lima 70. Roni 23. Mendonca G. 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane 20. Duarte D.	1. Robles J. (G) 4. Ferro 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 2. Sanchez R. 10. Holsgrove J. 6. Jandro 12. Carvalho J. (C) 99. Guitane R. 9. Marques A. 14. Begraoui Y.
Substitutes
27. Algobia A. 19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 5. Molina G. 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 33. Santos A. 93. Simao (G)	57. Bimai L. 22. Carvalho P. 20. Costa G. 11. Edwards K. 97. Gomes L. 79. Lourenco B. 70. Peixinho 21. Pizzi 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Henriques J.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Mendonca G. 🟨,
43', Rivas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Rivas L. ↓, Kiki ↑,
53', Mendonca G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Duarte D. ⚽,
61', Amaral P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
61', Jandro ↓, Pizzi ↑,
68', Pedro Lima ↓, Perea O. ↑,
72', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Tomane ⚽,
77', Duarte D. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
77', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
81', Guitane R. 🟨,
84', Guitane R. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
90', Ferro 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, Algobia A. ⚽, Nene (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).

AVS is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Estoril is the team to beat.

There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Israelov O. (Thigh Injury) Tsoungui A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in AVS: Paulo Vitor (Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Ferro (Injury) Lacximicant A. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
05.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
23.01.26	Casa Pia - AVS	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AVS - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
07.02.26	Estoril Praia - Tondela	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães	4:2 ✺
19.01.26	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
03.01.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
13.09.25	Estoril Praia - AVS	3:1
04.04.25	AVS - Estoril Praia	0:3
09.11.24	Estoril Praia - AVS	0:0

AVS - Estoril Praia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide