Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Relegation - Final

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV+


	AVS		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.55	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.68	3.5	2.69
	2.66	3.45	2.69
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.59	3.5	2.61
	2.7	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.59 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
36.1%

Draw
27.4%

Portimonense
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

AVS - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Simao (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 5. Teixeira J. 47. Lucca J. 12. Farias E. 17. Mercado J. 8. Bernardo 90. Tunde Akinsola 18. Nene (C)	12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 33. Igor Formiga 44. Pedrao (C) 22. Relvas F. 18. Costa G. 8. Fukui T. 11. Carlinhos 25. Lucas Ventura 10. Pereira H. 85. Cassama M. 77. Varela H.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 2. Fonseca F. 16. Mena Y. 23. Mendonca G. 11. Stenio 19. Talles Wander 88. Trigueira P. (G) 27. Veiga E.	76. Alcobia R. 19. Carrillo R. 13. Dener 20. Estrela P. 27. Guga 7. Jasper S. 28. Luan 32. Nakamura K. (G) 17. Silva do Nascimento D.
Coaches
Costa J.	Paulo Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Veiga E. ↑,
27', Pereira H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Mercado J. ⚽,
59', Cassama M. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
63', Simao 🟨,
64', Farias E. ↓, Stenio ↑,
65', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
66', Relvas F. 🟨,
69', Pereira H. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
69', Costa G. ↓, Luan ↑,
73', Lucas Ventura ↓, Dener ↑,
73', Carlinhos ↓, Silva do Nascimento D. ↑,
80', Nene ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
80', Veiga E. ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
80', Mercado J. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
86', Mena Y. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Bernardo ⚽, Mendonca G. (A),
90+4', 2 - 1, Carrillo R. ⚽,
90+8', Fonseca F. 🟥,
90+8', Pedrao 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches AVS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portimonense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Portimonense: Zinho (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
25.05.24	Portimonense - AVS	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.24	AVS - Tondela	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Leixões - AVS	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	AVS - Mafra	3:3 ✺
30.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - AVS	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTTW
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
25.05.24	Portimonense - AVS	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Farense - Portimonense	1:3 ✺
11.05.24	Portimonense - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Portimonense - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.05.24	Portimonense - AVS	1:2

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