Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Relegation - Final

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports, Sport TV


	Portimonense		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.7
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.2
	2	3.56	3.86
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.97	3.64	3.71
	1.95	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.91)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	3.68 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
47.7%

Draw
26.8%

AVS
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Portimonense - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: Portimonense will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Guga 44. Pedrao (C) 43. Tornich 14. Seck M. 8. Fukui T. 11. Carlinhos 25. Lucas Ventura 10. Pereira H. 19. Carrillo R. 77. Varela H.	93. Simao (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 5. Teixeira J. 47. Lucca J. 6. Pacheco F. 17. Mercado J. 8. Bernardo 90. Tunde Akinsola 18. Nene (C)
Substitutes
76. Alcobia R. 85. Cassama M. 18. Costa G. 13. Dener 20. Estrela P. 33. Igor Formiga 28. Luan 17. Silva do Nascimento D. 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	20. Amorim J. 12. Farias E. 2. Fonseca F. 16. Mena Y. 23. Mendonca G. 11. Stenio 19. Talles Wander 88. Trigueira P. (G) 27. Veiga E.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Costa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Correia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Seck M. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
46', Guga ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Bernardo ⚽, Leo Alaba (A),
54', Leo Alaba 🟨,
62', Carrillo R. ↓, Cassama M. ↑,
69', Clayton 🟨,
71', Nene ↓, Talles Wander ↑,
72', Pereira H. ↓, Luan ↑,
79', Pacheco F. 🟨,
79', Tornich ↓, Silva do Nascimento D. ↑,
82', Pedrao 🟨,
85', Talles Wander 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Teixeira J. (Own goal),
87', Mercado J. ↓, Stenio ↑,
90+1', Pacheco F. 🟨,
90+3', Simao 🟨,
90+6', Bernardo ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
90+10', Varela H. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Portimonense is a favorite.

There will not play in Portimonense: Zinho (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
18.05.24	Farense - Portimonense	1:3 ✺
11.05.24	Portimonense - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Portimonense - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Famalicão - Portimonense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.24	AVS - Tondela	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Leixões - AVS	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	AVS - Mafra	3:3 ✺
30.04.24	Paços de Ferreira - AVS	0:4 ✺
24.04.24	AVS - Porto B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTWL

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