Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.12	3.6	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.68	3.02
	2.86	3.75	2.21	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.18	3.6	3.08
	2.15	3.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	2.89 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
41.5%

Draw
26%

Kongsvinger
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

24.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Aalesunds - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 3. Gudmundsson O. 7. Nesso K. 8. Melland H. 6. Hammer H. 21. Christensen M. 16. Orsahl J. 17. Myrlid E. 9. Ngongo P.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 19. Nielsen E. 5. Holme F. 12. Mbow M. 2. Nilsson J. 17. Gjerstrom M. 6. Holter H. 27. Dybevik A. 22. Langrekken L. 9. Haren L. 11. Williams N.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 29. Boe J. 23. Froysa E. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 36. Ytterland T.	28. Christiansen R. 71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 3. Fjellman P. 13. Flores M. 8. Grundt J. 21. Lysgard D. 20. Sandstad A. 23. Vinjor M.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Ngongo P. 🟨,
27', Dybevik A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Nilsson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Christensen M. ⚽,
63', Holter H. ↓, Grundt J. ↑,
63', Williams N. ↓, Vinjor M. ↑,
69', Gudmundsson O. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
69', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
69', Myrlid E. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
70', Gorodovoy A. 🟨,
76', Haren L. ↓, Christiansen R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Ngongo P. ⚽, Johannsson D. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Christensen M. ⚽,
84', Langrekken L. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
84', Nilsson J. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
90+4', Christensen M. ↓, Ytterland T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kongsvinger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aalesunds is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Aalesunds - Moss	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Skeid - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.06.25	Aalesunds - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTTL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.07.25	Kongsvinger - Start	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Egersund - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0
21.09.24	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:5
09.06.24	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	4:4
14.09.19	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:1
06.04.19	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	1:0
16.09.18	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	2:1
28.04.18	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	1:3

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