The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aberystwyth Town 13.2%
Draw 21.7%
Cardiff Metropolitan 65.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
24.4%
58.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
23.8%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Metropolitan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jones D. (G) 23. Arnison H. 20. Aziamale C. 4. Bradford L. 5. Ealing F. 9. Flint N. 11. Hartley Z. 17. Huxley C. 8. Lewis I. 10. Owen J. 19. Torry D.
1. Lang A. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 9. Rees L. 6. Reynolds R. 11. Roscrow A. 4. Veale J.
Substitutes
22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 3. Davies R. 12. Mason T. 21. Osment S. (G) 2. Walsh L.
17. Cadwallader E. 19. Clay J. 18. Gibbins C. J. 14. Morris J. 41. Saunders 21. Soady B. 29. Vincent T.
Coaches
Williams A.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
32', Arnison H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Torry D. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Edwards J. ⚽,
66', Huxley C. ↓, Dafis G. ↑,
70', Roscrow A. ↓, Vincent T. ↑,
81', Craven C. 🟨,
81', Arnison H. ↓, Mason T. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', Evans E. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 0.
Aberystwyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cardiff Metropolitan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Aberystwyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Cardiff Metropolitan is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20-42.
Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-21.
Watch
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Jones D. (G) 
Arnison H. 
Bradford L. 
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