Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Ynyshir Albions

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.05	4.25
	1.39	5.09	5.77
	1.65	4.32	4.24	Watch
	1.56	4.05	4.71
	1.35	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)	4.46 ↓ (5.08)	4.99 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
60.9%

Draw
20.6%

Ynyshir Albions
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

17.9%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

16.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aberystwyth Town's form might have worsened.

Ynyshir Albions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aberystwyth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Aberystwyth Town - Ynyshir Albions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Aberystwyth (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberystwyth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ricketts R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Martin D. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Evans J. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Aberystwyth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ynyshir Albions is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Aberystwyth is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
15.11.25	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Carmarthen Town	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Llantwit Major - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT

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