Match Info

Cymru South - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.65	1.92
	3.09	3.59	2.06
	2.98	3.61	2.15	Watch
	3.44	3.91	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.98)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
29.1%

Draw
25%

Trefelin
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Aberystwyth Town - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', O'Toole E. 🟥,
89', 0 - 1, Ware L. ⚽,
90+11', 0 - 2, Jones J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Aberystwyth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trefelin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trefelin could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Treowen Stars - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Trefelin - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Cambrian United - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Trefelin - Afan Lido	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWW

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